By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with A black valentine is a communication between intelligence services with a message that looks well-meant but is the reverse in fact.  Between friendly, cooperating or allied intelligence services, like the Russian and Iranian, the black valentine is a criticism. A sharp one. Yevgeny Krutikov, a former Russian military intelligence (GRU) officer […]

by Editor - Wednesday, March 4th, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with Russian oil and gas producers and the state, which taxes their revenues for the budget,  will gain from the war on three conditions: if the closure of the Strait of Hormuz remains a short supply shock; if war damage to Arab and Iranian oil and gas fields, pipelines, port terminals, and […]

by Editor - Tuesday, March 3rd, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with The Kremlin spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, has announced: “Even as we continue to highly appreciate those mediation efforts being provided by the United States we rely on ourselves only and it is us who defend our own interests.”  As for the US “mediation efforts” – read Steven Witkoff and Jared Kushner — […]

by Editor - Tuesday, March 3rd, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with In investigating war and peace, life and death, truth and lies, innocence and guilt, there is hindsight bias and there is confirmation bias. Hindsight bias occurs when, with the evidence of what has just happened, the investigator is sure he anticipated the outcome from the beginning and is convinced he knew […]

by Editor - Sunday, March 1st, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with At about noon, Moscow time, on Friday February 27, the Russian Security Council met in a video session. The regular weekly meeting of the Council is often at the end of the week.    The Foreign and Defense Ministers, Sergei Lavrov and Andrei Belousov,  and the head of the Foreign Intelligence Service, […]

by Editor - Sunday, March 1st, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with In order to understand what Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar did in Israel, start by reading Modi’s Knesset speech here.   Then calculate the weight of these Indian numbers:– There are 1.4 billion Indians; the Jews of India count for less than 5,000.– The number of […]

by Editor - Friday, February 27th, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with President Vladimir Putin has an STD problem, according to sources in a position to know. That’s Succession Testing Day – September 20, when Russian voters will go to the polls to elect a new State Duma. Between then and now, Kremlin political strategists believe they must stop the downward decline they […]

by Editor - Wednesday, February 25th, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with Before the last of the great Arab strategists was murdered by the Americans, British and French – that was Muammar Qaddafi in October 2011 – he met with an Indian delegation at Sirte, in the Libyan desert. This is what the Indians recorded Qaddafi telling them: “Imperialism does not want India as […]

by Editor - Wednesday, February 25th, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with Imperialism in the mind happens when a superiority complex turns into a national pathology of racial supremacism and is carved into stone tablets as the constitution of the Chosen People, Make American Great Again, the Final Solution, etc. It always comes a cropper. Almost two and half thousand years ago, the […]

by Editor - Tuesday, February 24th, 2026
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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with The Swedish Government has admitted it has no direct evidence of the cause of Alexei  Navalny’s death – only British Government hearsay. In a series of email exchanges last week, the Swedish Foreign Ministry has revealed that its military laboratories and scientific establishments have not received post-mortem samples of Navalny’s tissues. […]

by Editor - Monday, February 23rd, 2026
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