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By John Helmer, Moscow
  @bears_with

In all large criminal gangs – racketeer influenced and corrupt organizations (RICO) as they termed in US law  – there is always the mouth that talks tough; the pocket which collects the money; the gun that’s the enforcer. The mouth is the most expendable so long as the pocket keeps full and the gun stays loaded.

In Lucky Luciano’s enterprise, he was the first; Meyer Lansky the second; Benjamin Siegel,  Albert Anastasia and Vito Genovese the third.      

In President Donald Trump’s enterprise, he is the first; Steven Witkoff is the second; Stephen Miller is the third. Miller is currently publishing his ambition to become Trump’s National Security Advisor, replacing Marco Rubio, sidelining JD Vance, taking control of the pocket for warmaking abroad and for enforcement at home.  

On the eve of Witkoff’s new meeting with President Vladimir Putin today (January 22), the Kremlin theory is, as it was in the talks with Witkoff last year, that Putin is moving Trump the mouth through Witkoff the pocket. It has been the Iranian experience that this is a miscalculation – that the gun moves the mouth more directly, more often than the pocket.  

But in Kremlin theory, this operation is modeled on the Cuba takeover – that was Luciano’s success after Lansky negotiated bribe terms for Fulgencio Batista.  

In the podcast aired from Crimea with Regis Tremblay and Dimitri Lascaris on Tuesday evening, the aim is to predict the future from the Moscow perspective while anticipating the worst from the Montreal viewpoint. Click to view or listen: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZyLgvidwVqc 

It is also explained why, in order to keep the long war going against Russia, Denmark and the NATO allies will come to terms with Trump over the future of Greenland – terms which will also save Trump the cost of bribing the Greenlanders for the deal.  

This is how history is being written with the hammer.

THE MOUTH

Source: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115934734335579278 

THE GUN 

Source: https://x.com/stephenm 

THE POCKET

The Russia Direct Investment Fund (RDIF), chaired by Security Council member Sergei Ivanov and headed by Kirill Dmitriev,  stopped issuing annual reports of its operations in 2019. This was the last of them: https://www.ifswf.org/sites/default/files/annual-reports/RDIF%2031495%20Annual%20Review%202018%20English%20web.pdf According to this report, RDIF was managing Rb1.5 trillion in investment – that was about $24 billion at the 2018 average rate of exchange; about $16 billion at the 2025 rate. The RDIF claims that with its stake, it leveraged an additional $40 billion in foreign “joint funds”; the report claims a 3% rate of return annually. No figure for current funds under management or for foreign partner investments appears in this document. Instead, the global map and its number key list $43.5 billion in investment pledges. The largest of these are the $10 billion joint investment pledges of the Public Investment Fund of Saudi Arabia (key=2) and China Development Bank (key=17), followed by $7 billion with the Mubadala sovereign wealth fund of Abu Dhabi (key=1).  No figure for funds received, disbursed,  or invested is available –  pages 24-27. The RDIF website releases no financial data.  

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