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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with Did Xi Jinping demonstrate escalation dominance over Donald Trump at their meeting in Busan on October 30 (lead image, right) in a way which Vladimir Putin failed to do with Trump at their meeting in Anchorage on August 15?  Has the Zhongnanhai strategy been more effective in deterring US escalation of trade […]

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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with Question: Did a new RAND report recommending the US moderate its escalating conflict with China influence President Donald Trump’s backdown in Busan? Answer: No. Question: Does the Russian escalation of words in defence of Venezuela and the Chinese silence deter Trump from launching his plan to kill Nicolás Maduro? Answer: not much. […]

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By Stanislas Balcerac, Warsaw, translated and annotated by John Helmer  @bears_with In the one hundred-year old Czech satire of the simpleminded conscript in the Austro-Hungarian army of World War I, Jaroslav Hasek’s hero, the good soldier Schweik, has come to display through his stupidity what the Czechs today say goes “further in defining the Czechs in the 20th […]

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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with In a conversation lasting one hour and forty minutes according to the Chinese stopwatch– “a long meeting” on  President Donald Trump’s clock    —  President Xi Jinping first knocked the stuffing out of Trump’s warmaking threats,  then forced him to beat a retreat behind a 12-month ceasefire with the man the Pentagon has […]

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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with The four-term (2013-2027) Governor of the Central Bank of Russia (CBR), Elvira Nabiullina, has assured the State Duma this week that the biggest enemy Russia faces is not the combined military and economic forces of the US and NATO, but over-heating in the domestic economy as it mobilizes to defend itself. […]

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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with For every one of President Donald Trump’s eight, nine or ten peacemaking moves, as he counts  them, there has been a warmaking move. The first series are turning into propaganda fakes; the second series are turning into political and military failures. Listen to the new podcast with Nima Alkhorshid as we spell […]

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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with President Donald Trump was told last week by NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte that the Russian people are losing their confidence in President Vladimir Putin and in the war in the Ukraine because they are having to wait in line at their petrol stations; because their airport flights can be delayed for […]

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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with With these new words (lead image),    President Donald Trump has now obliterated – his word for the US attack on Iran on June 22, 2025  – whatever President Vladimir Putin and Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov have been calling the “understandings” they negotiated at the summit meeting in Anchorage, Alaska, on August 16.   […]

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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with The daily record of Russian drone and missile strikes across the Ukraine shows not only an escalation in the scale and firepower of the electric war but also a new strategy of targeting designed by the General Staff. The lead image shows the launch and strike points on the battlefield map […]

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By John Helmer, Moscow  @bears_with The Russian state news agency Tass has announced the Budapest summit meeting between President Vladimir Putin and President Donald Trump is off for the time being after receiving a call to its Washington bureau from a source it identified as “a US administration official”.   “The US administration has no plans […]